A Megatrends examination of global trade growth concludes that it will slow but not decline.
Vanguard economic and market update - May 2021
GDP across key economies remains uneven. The United States, Chineseand Australian economies all grew over the first quarter, while the euro regionand the United Kingdom recorded declines.
Why rises in bond yields should only be modest
Vanguard expects rises in bond yields to be modest as central banks unwind loose monetary policy in coming years.
Why U.S. value stocks are poised to outperform growth
In a reversal from the past ten years, we expect value stocks to outperform growth stocks over the next decade.
The coming rise(s) in inflation
'Base effects' and a stimulated U.S. economy are about to push inflation higher than we've seen in recent years.
Vanguard economic and market update - April 2021
Economic growth levels across most developed countries and emerging marketsare continuing to improve, supported by major fiscal stimulus programs and the rolloutof COVID-19 vaccinations.
Rising rates don't negate benefits of bonds
Roger Aliaga-Diaz, Vanguard's chief economist, Americas, and head of portfolio construction, explains why investors should maintain their bond positions even in an environment of rising interest rates.
Vanguard's credit team anticipates a decline in corporate leverage from the recent COVID-19 highs, and that the worst in terms of credit deterioration is likely behind us.
Vanguard economic and market update - March 2021
Economic growth levels across most developed countries are increasing, supportedby major fiscal stimulus programs and the ongoing rollout of COVID-19 vaccinations.
Digital currencies and investment portfolios
Roger Aliaga-Diaz, Chief Economist, Americas, and Head of Portfolio Construction at Vanguard, explains why investors should understand the risks of investing in cryptocurrencies.
Now playing: China's policy normalization challenge
China is the first major economy to fully recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. How policymakers balance near-term and medium-term financial stability is a challenge for global policymakers as well.
Vanguard economic and market update - February 2021
The pace of COVID-19 vaccine rollouts around the world will continueto be one of the key drivers of Vanguard's economic and financial marketsforecasts over the course of 2021.
Asset bubbles and where to find them
It's hard to identify an asset bubble. We assess whether future income scenarios can justify an asset's price.
China's growth and its implications
Vanguard's proprietary measure reflects volatility in growth that doesn't appear in official GDP numbers.
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