With initial credit market adjustments to the pandemic behind us, Vanguard's credit analysts outline further opportunities for active management to add value, including within some of the more COVID-affected sectors.
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the International Monetary Fund lowered its forecast for growth in emerging and developing economies for both 2020 and 2021. The way out won't be easy. But not all is lost for emerging markets.
The low-interest-rate environment is a favorable backdrop for developed markets to retire pandemic-related debt. Central banks, meanwhile, may soon provide guidance on how they'll start unwinding assets.
Vanguard economists believe the global economy is most likely already in recession and expect negative growth for 2020. The depth of the downturn will depend on how long the most restrictive COVID-19 containment measures remain in place.