Mirage of Stability: China's True Economic Growth
Vanguard analysis shows that alternative measures form a clearer picture of China's true economic growth.
Emerging-market debt: Finding value in a time of pandemic
Vanguard's emerging markets credit team believes opportunities to add value exist even in this rapidly evolving fiscal environment.
Health and economic challenges remain, but we may by the middle of 2021 be able to start talking about the pandemic in the past tense.
Vanguard economic and market outlook for 2021: Approaching the dawn
While the global economy continues to recover as we head into 2021, the battle between the virus and humanity's efforts to stanch it continues.
Vanguard economic and market update - November 2020
Based on promising signs that COVID-19 vaccines currently in trail are effectiveand production capacity allows for doses to be delivered early-to-mid-2021, Vanguardsees an increased likelihood of the U.S. economy reaching pre-COVID-19 output levelsbefore the end of 2021.
Active Fixed Income Perspectives - September quarter 2020
Beyond the uncertainty surrounding the ongoing global Covid-19 pandemic, we see room for market volatility to increase heading into year-end. The US election, a stalled US fiscal relief package and complications around Brexit all have the potential to weigh on investor sentiment and move market prices.
Vanguard economic and market update - October 2020
China's economy is set to resume its pre-pandemic trajectory before the end of 2020, at least a full year ahead of when Vanguard expects other major economies to achieve the same milestone.
Post-Brexit trade, the economy, and markets
Volatility may accompany the final stages on Brexit, but much of the market's response is already baked into prices.
Vanguard economic and market update - September 2020
Globally, the pace of economic recovery from COVID-19 is uneven, with the US tracking at the optimistic end-of-expectations but economies such as the UK lagging behind Vanguard's mid-year forecasts.
Vanguard economic and market update - August 2020
The progression of COVID-19 and the prospects for a vaccine remain the key driversof economic activity globally.
Active Fixed Income Perspectives - June quarter 2020
Valuations are less compelling than they were in late March but we expect opportunities to continue to arise. Emerging markets and pockets of credit remain good prospects.
Vanguard economic and market update - July 2020
Vanguard forecasts global growth to fall by about -3% in 2020 with a recovery to begin in the second-half.
Vanguard's 2020 midyear economic update
Vanguard economists address the COVID-19 shock, an expected two-phase recovery, and a sanguine investment outlook.
An economic update amid the pandemic
Vanguard economists take stock of how COVID-19 has reshaped their outlook for the economy and where they see markets going from here.
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